Investing for a recession

Persistent inflation, another Fed policy mistake, and recession fears have unnerved investors. It has been several decades since the stock market has had such a long streak of heavy losses. US stocks continue to be vulnerable to further losses until the Fed indicates...

The Fed is cutting loose from the stock market

The U.S. economy could be heading for a recession in the next year, according to growing warnings from banks and economists, as a sudden bout of pessimism hammered financial markets this week. Of note was comments from Fed Chair Jay Powell earlier this week, that...

Inflation is headed lower but beware of being eaten alive

The good news is that inflation in April fell to 8.3% from 8.5% in March. The bad news is that it still stayed above 8%. The task at hand, for the Fed, is to bring inflation down to its 2% target without pushing the economy into a recession. It gives us no comfort...

Being cautious now is being wise

The Dow Jones average suffered its worst beating since October 2020 on Friday, capping a fourth straight weekly decline on the news that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by at least a half point at its meeting next month. The Fed’s hawkish...